EXCELLENCE IN CORPORATE GOVERNANCE
Most judgements and decisions are necessarily made under conditions of risk and uncertainty, regardless of the setting. However, there often exists severe limits to predicting the future, be it in the context of policy, investments, business, health, or even personal pursuits such as happiness.
The most commonly used subsequent course of action would be to look for shelter in “models” to accurately predict future outcomes. In doing so, the danger is going too far that would often end up underestimating the role of chance. In the boardroom, the tendency for board directors to overestimate their abilities to predict the future for things beyond their control means they may often fall prey to “illusion of control” with all its potential costs.
This session presented by Anil Gaba, Professor of Decision Sciences in INSEAD and co-director of the International Directors Programme (IDP) will expose the limitations of human judgements and illustrate to board directors and senior management how biases interfere with their abilities to see, act and learn.
Through illustration and examples, the session will challenge them to review their assumptions and introduce strategies for which they can interrupt the process to improve quality of decision-making and judgement.